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0xdb1b12...66efb5

0xdb1b12...66efb5
Smart Score
56
Win Rate
73.1%
Total P&L
+$38.5K
Trade Count
3,019
Sharpe Ratio
0.27
Sortino Ratio
1.98
Max Drawdown
62.1%
ROI
6.2%
Profit Factor
2.52
Kelly Fraction
0.441
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
055.6/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?SELL29.7¢500Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $600M one day after launch?BUY77.0¢800Mar 5
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?BUY66.0¢500Mar 3
Space FDV above $15M one day after launch?SELL54.1¢520.42Mar 2
Will Opinion launch a token on March 5?BUY99.0¢1,287.21Mar 2
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY19.0¢5,000Mar 2
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?SELL93.0¢1,311Mar 2
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on March 2?BUY99.7¢155.71Mar 2
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on March 2?BUY99.7¢89.11Mar 2
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?BUY85.0¢1.43Mar 2
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?BUY85.0¢0.03Mar 2
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?BUY85.0¢75.2Mar 2
USD.AI FDV above $150M one day after launch?BUY86.0¢29.286Mar 2
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?BUY95.0¢1,863Mar 2
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?BUY95.0¢137Mar 2
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?BUY95.0¢3,107.95Mar 2
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by March 31?BUY18.0¢200Mar 2
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY67.0¢39.68Mar 1
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?SELL47.1¢2,927.11Mar 1
Will Paradex launch a token on March 2?BUY99.0¢150Mar 1

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%15%< 10%6%10–20%4%20–30%8%30–50%10%50–70%7%70–80%12%80–90%38%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Active55.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.06
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)50.6%
Win Consistency57.9%
Profit Factor1.45
Drawdown Resilience1.17
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.17
Weekly Sharpe est.0.89
Trading Activity3,019 trades · 122 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$172,07636d profit86d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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