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0xdb1bfb...27e16f

0xdb1bfb...27e16f
Smart Score
13
Win Rate
95.5%
Total P&L
+$4
Trade Count
80
Sharpe Ratio
-6.28
Sortino Ratio
-6.25
Max Drawdown
1093.5%
ROI
0.5%
Profit Factor
1.40
Kelly Fraction
0.274
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
013.2/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 5?BUY97.2¢10Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or higher on March 5?SELL99.0¢10Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or higher on March 5?BUY97.0¢10Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on March 5?BUY97.0¢10Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 50-51°F on March 5?BUY97.0¢10Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on March 5?BUY97.0¢10Mar 4
Will Starmer say "Labour" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?SELL99.6¢10Mar 4
Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 5 be between 2,200,000 and 2,400,000?BUY98.0¢10Mar 4
Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 5 be between 2,000,000 and 2,200,000?BUY97.9¢10Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on March 4?BUY99.0¢10Mar 3
Will Starmer say "Labour" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?BUY97.0¢10Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on March 3?SELL99.0¢10Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on March 3?SELL99.9¢10Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on March 3?SELL99.0¢10Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on March 3?BUY97.0¢10Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on March 3?SELL99.6¢10Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on March 3?BUY97.0¢10Mar 3
Will Bill Clinton say "President" or "Trump" 3+ times during his Epstein testimony?SELL99.1¢10Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on March 3?BUY97.0¢10Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 38-39°F on March 2?SELL99.9¢10Mar 2

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%100%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing13.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.73
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)12.0%
Win Consistency40.9%
Profit Factor0.34
Drawdown Resilience0.28
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.28
Weekly Sharpe est.0.21
Trading Activity80 trades · 29 active days
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P&L Calendar
$6618d profit11d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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