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0xdb2986...9d471f

0xdb2986...9d471f
Smart Score
67
Win Rate
90.9%
Total P&L
+$458
Trade Count
85
Sharpe Ratio
0.21
Sortino Ratio
0.65
Max Drawdown
20.0%
ROI
5.9%
Profit Factor
5.65
Kelly Fraction
0.748
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
066.6/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY99.9¢143.583Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?BUY99.9¢388.248Mar 1
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?BUY99.9¢22.372Mar 1
Will Ethereum dip to $800 in February?BUY99.9¢313.193Feb 26
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?BUY97.7¢261.075Feb 22
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?BUY97.8¢325.266Feb 20
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?BUY99.9¢401.631Feb 15
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?BUY99.8¢518.587Feb 11
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?BUY99.9¢484.504Jan 29
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?BUY99.9¢28.068Jan 22
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?BUY95.9¢211.689Jan 18
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?BUY99.7¢298.596Jan 17
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY99.9¢76.766Dec 29
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY98.8¢3.34Dec 27
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?BUY99.9¢24.644Dec 23
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 23?BUY99.2¢495.06Dec 23
Will the ECB announce no change at the December meeting?BUY99.9¢100.82Dec 15
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?BUY99.4¢16.258Dec 9
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?BUY92.6¢26.914Dec 4
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?BUY30.0¢422.467Nov 20

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%4%30–50%50–70%70–80%4%80–90%77%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Active66.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.66
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)60.6%
Win Consistency66.7%
Profit Factor1.73
Drawdown Resilience1.40
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.40
Weekly Sharpe est.1.07
Trading Activity65 trades · 56 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$5,30510d profit46d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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