0xdb3d5a...8edea3

Smart Score

Win Rate

66.7%

Total P&L

+$391

Trade Count

151

Sharpe Ratio

0.73

Sortino Ratio

8.50

Max Drawdown

436.0%

ROI

3.1%

Profit Factor

5.19

Kelly Fraction

0.538

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

050.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C or higher on March 5?	BUY	1.3¢	13.6	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 5?	BUY	1.0¢	93.75	Mar 4
Will Nepali Communist Party win the third-most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?	BUY	8.0¢	3.75	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on March 5?	BUY	4.3¢	44.2	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C or higher on March 4?	BUY	96.0¢	33.82	Mar 4
Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 5 be greater than 2,800,000?	BUY	97.7¢	108.261	Mar 4
Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 4 be less than 2,000,000?	BUY	5.6¢	29.286	Mar 3
Will Target (TGT) beat quarterly earnings?	BUY	97.9¢	0.22	Mar 3
Will Target (TGT) beat quarterly earnings?	BUY	97.9¢	134.762	Mar 3
Will Starmer say "Restore Britain" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?	BUY	10.0¢	20.4	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 88°F or higher on March 3?	BUY	99.4¢	188.59	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 88°F or higher on March 3?	BUY	99.4¢	20	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 88°F or higher on March 3?	BUY	99.4¢	20	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C on March 3?	BUY	2.3¢	145.652	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on March 3?	BUY	1.3¢	127.692	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C or higher on March 2?	BUY	1.6¢	235	Mar 1
Will Marco Rubio visit Israel by March 2?	BUY	99.1¢	0.55	Mar 1
Will Marco Rubio visit Israel by March 2?	BUY	99.1¢	244.444	Mar 1
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?	BUY	99.0¢	0.48	Feb 27
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?	BUY	99.0¢	243	Feb 27

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing50.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.77

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)45.8%

Win Consistency38.0%

Profit Factor1.31

Drawdown Resilience1.06

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.06

Weekly Sharpe est.0.80

Trading Activity151 trades · 62 active days

P&L Calendar

$12,3640d profit61d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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