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0xdb70d0...4b3eee

0xdb70d0...4b3eee
Smart Score
36
Win Rate
63.0%
Total P&L
-$69
Trade Count
42
Sharpe Ratio
0.70
Sortino Ratio
1.88
Max Drawdown
76.1%
ROI
-3.7%
Profit Factor
0.71
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
035.9/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?SELL88.9¢56.72Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY76.4¢56.727Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?SELL99.9¢43.37Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?BUY87.0¢43.379Mar 1
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?BUY58.2¢56.151Feb 2
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?BUY55.0¢18.182Jan 31
Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by February 28?BUY91.8¢32.68Jan 31
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?BUY19.0¢105.263Jan 31
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?BUY93.0¢59.892Jan 31
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?BUY53.0¢37.736Jan 30
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 January 26-1?BUY96.6¢31.051Jan 30
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?BUY91.0¢56.044Jan 30
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?SELL99.9¢216.92Jan 30
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?BUY57.0¢216.93Jan 30
Will Hyperliquid hit $38 in January?SELL98.5¢47.78Jan 30
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 29?BUY67.0¢41.791Jan 29
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?BUY86.8¢46.083Jan 28
Will Hyperliquid hit $38 in January?BUY83.7¢47.79Jan 28
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026?SELL99.9¢59.18Jan 28
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026?SELL99.9¢44.23Jan 28

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%7%10–20%20–30%30–50%21%50–70%7%70–80%29%80–90%36%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing35.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.97
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)32.7%
Win Consistency71.4%
Profit Factor0.93
Drawdown Resilience0.75
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.75
Weekly Sharpe est.0.57
Trading Activity42 trades · 16 active days
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P&L Calendar
$2575d profit10d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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