0xdb860d...8e5ccd

Smart Score

Win Rate

88.8%

Total P&L

-$318

Trade Count

204

Sharpe Ratio

0.28

Sortino Ratio

1.24

Max Drawdown

1696.1%

ROI

-3.1%

Profit Factor

0.22

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

00/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	8.4¢	37.9	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	89.0¢	5.65	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	97.3¢	5.653	Feb 27
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?	BUY	77.0¢	10	Feb 21
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?	BUY	82.0¢	13	Feb 21
Will Trump visit China by March 31?	BUY	96.4¢	6.276	Feb 13
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June?	BUY	93.0¢	6.602	Feb 13
US strikes Iran by February 8, 2026?	BUY	99.5¢	10.05	Feb 8
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	94.0¢	10.638	Feb 4
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?	SELL	99.8¢	78.87	Feb 4
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?	SELL	99.8¢	91.784	Feb 4
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?	SELL	99.8¢	79.338	Feb 4
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?	BUY	99.4¢	250	Feb 4
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?	SELL	99.9¢	586	Feb 3
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?	BUY	99.6¢	86.01	Feb 3
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?	BUY	99.6¢	249.99	Feb 3
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?	BUY	99.6¢	250	Feb 3
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?	BUY	99.5¢	200	Feb 3
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?	BUY	99.5¢	95.84	Feb 3
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?	BUY	99.5¢	5.05	Feb 3

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing0

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.00

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.0%

Win Consistency27.5%

Profit Factor0.00

Drawdown Resilience0.00

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.00

Weekly Sharpe est.0.00

Trading Activity204 trades · 60 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,4602d profit58d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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