0xdbb3ae...e801fd

0xdbb3ae...e801fd
Smart Score
59
Win Rate
77.1%
Total P&L
+$37
Trade Count
316
Sharpe Ratio
0.12
Sortino Ratio
0.17
Max Drawdown
2.7%
ROI
0.3%
Profit Factor
3.68
Kelly Fraction
0.562
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
059.4/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.9¢27,346.667Mar 5
Will Baidu have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?BUY99.8¢2.224Mar 5
Will XRP dip to $0.40 in March?BUY99.4¢1.781Mar 5
Will XRP dip to $0.20 in March?BUY99.6¢1.888Mar 5
Will XRP reach $3.20 in March?BUY99.6¢1.928Mar 5
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.9¢137.28Feb 13
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.9¢1,648.69Feb 13
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.9¢1,515.79Feb 13
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.9¢1,111.111Feb 13
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.9¢30.15Feb 13
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.9¢5.04Feb 13
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.9¢1,522.41Feb 13
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.9¢200Feb 13
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.9¢860.99Feb 13
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.9¢5,375.94Feb 13
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.9¢352.85Feb 13
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.9¢1,292.24Feb 13
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.9¢30.15Feb 13
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.9¢118.88Feb 13
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.9¢162.73Feb 13
Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%28%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%71%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Active59.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.27
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)54.0%
Win Consistency54.3%
Profit Factor1.54
Drawdown Resilience1.25
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.25
Weekly Sharpe est.0.95
Trading Activity107 trades · 8 active days
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P&L Calendar
$2903d profit5d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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