0xdbd792...6560b9

Smart Score

Win Rate

81.9%

Total P&L

-$2

Trade Count

187

Sharpe Ratio

-0.03

Sortino Ratio

-0.02

Max Drawdown

223.2%

ROI

-1.3%

Profit Factor

-3.31

Kelly Fraction

1.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

00/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?	BUY	99.2¢	1.008	Mar 5
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?	BUY	99.0¢	1.01	Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?	BUY	93.5¢	1.07	Feb 28
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 1, 2026?	BUY	97.5¢	1.026	Feb 28
Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026?	SELL	74.0¢	1.16	Feb 23
Will Trump say "America" or "American" 50+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?	SELL	40.0¢	1.09	Feb 23
Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026?	BUY	86.0¢	1.163	Feb 23
Will Trump say "America" or "American" 50+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?	BUY	91.0¢	1.099	Feb 23
Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy	SELL	88.0¢	1.12	Feb 20
Will Rocket Lab (RKLB) beat quarterly earnings?	SELL	84.0¢	1.2	Feb 20
Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy	BUY	89.0¢	1.124	Feb 20
Will Rocket Lab (RKLB) beat quarterly earnings?	BUY	83.0¢	1.205	Feb 20
Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy	SELL	84.0¢	1.16	Feb 18
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 18?	SELL	93.0¢	1.06	Feb 18
Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy	BUY	86.0¢	1.163	Feb 18
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 18?	BUY	94.0¢	1.064	Feb 18
Will the Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) win the Bangladesh parliamentary election by 9% or more?	SELL	94.4¢	2.02	Feb 13
Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?	SELL	92.0¢	1.07	Feb 13
Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?	BUY	93.0¢	1.075	Feb 13
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	SELL	86.0¢	1.09	Feb 13

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing0

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.00

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.0%

Win Consistency66.3%

Profit Factor0.00

Drawdown Resilience0.00

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.00

Weekly Sharpe est.0.00

Trading Activity187 trades · 48 active days

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue