0xdbdecd...9601c3

Smart Score

Win Rate

36.0%

Total P&L

+$3.7K

Trade Count

245

Sharpe Ratio

-0.35

Sortino Ratio

-1.02

Max Drawdown

1950.6%

ROI

38.4%

Profit Factor

3.55

Kelly Fraction

0.258

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

022.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?	BUY	21.7¢	92.273	Mar 5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?	BUY	53.0¢	94.34	Mar 5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?	BUY	21.9¢	91.136	Mar 5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?	BUY	52.5¢	19.057	Mar 5
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	BUY	39.0¢	12.821	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	13.0¢	384.615	Mar 4
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?	BUY	38.0¢	13.158	Mar 4
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?	BUY	45.8¢	109.239	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	26.0¢	115.385	Mar 3
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	16.0¢	312.5	Mar 3
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	20.7¢	48.333	Mar 3
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	38.0¢	89.474	Mar 3
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	SELL	62.0¢	15.38	Mar 3
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	38.0¢	78.947	Mar 3
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	65.0¢	15.385	Mar 3
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	16.0¢	31.25	Mar 3
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	64.0¢	15.625	Mar 3
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	35.0¢	142.857	Mar 2
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	47.0¢	106.383	Mar 2
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	72.0¢	27.778	Mar 2

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing22.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.22

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)20.2%

Win Consistency35.9%

Profit Factor0.58

Drawdown Resilience0.47

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.47

Weekly Sharpe est.0.36

Trading Activity245 trades · 68 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,11116d profit49d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue