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0xdbf2d2...30f9f6

0xdbf2d2...30f9f6
Smart Score
44
Win Rate
77.6%
Total P&L
+$491
Trade Count
4,000
Sharpe Ratio
0.44
Sortino Ratio
2.74
Max Drawdown
460.6%
ROI
12.6%
Profit Factor
3.96
Kelly Fraction
0.580
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
044.3/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 5?BUY49.0¢2.245Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on March 5?BUY79.0¢1.772Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on March 5?BUY98.9¢2.528Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on March 6?BUY98.0¢3.561Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on March 6?BUY99.6¢3.584Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on March 6?BUY99.9¢2.982Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 4°C on March 5?BUY86.0¢3.698Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on March 6?BUY96.9¢3.416Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on March 5?BUY76.0¢2.25Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 40-41°F on March 5?BUY99.9¢1.041Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C or below on March 6?BUY99.8¢3.739Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 4°C on March 5?BUY87.0¢3.747Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on March 6?BUY97.0¢2.763Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 4°C on March 5?BUY89.0¢1.404Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on March 5?BUY98.9¢1.183Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on March 5?BUY88.0¢2.216Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on March 6?BUY92.0¢3Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on March 6?BUY99.4¢1.187Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on March 6?BUY98.0¢1.184Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C or higher on March 5?BUY91.0¢1.484Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%6%20–30%10%30–50%15%50–70%10%70–80%15%80–90%39%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing44.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.44
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)40.3%
Win Consistency54.1%
Profit Factor1.15
Drawdown Resilience0.93
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.93
Weekly Sharpe est.0.71
Trading Activity4,000 trades · 35 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$1,5907d profit28d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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