0xdbf7fc...562931

Smart Score

Win Rate

26.3%

Total P&L

+$3

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.01

Sortino Ratio

-0.01

Max Drawdown

500.0%

ROI

3.7%

Profit Factor

1.65

Kelly Fraction

0.104

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

06.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	97.8¢	1.3	Mar 5
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	97.9¢	1.307	Mar 5
Will F1 win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	SELL	99.7¢	1.25	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	BUY	98.1¢	1.162	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	98.5¢	2.58	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	98.6¢	1.298	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	SELL	94.9¢	1.36	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	BUY	95.0¢	1.368	Mar 5
Will France win Eurovision 2026?	SELL	92.7¢	1.36	Mar 5
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	98.5¢	1.127	Mar 5
Will the Toronto Maple Leafs win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	SELL	99.7¢	1.37	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	98.6¢	1.288	Mar 5
Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	SELL	99.4¢	1.36	Feb 28
Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	BUY	99.5¢	1.367	Feb 28
Will F1 win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	BUY	99.6¢	1.255	Feb 28
Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?	SELL	99.7¢	1.1	Feb 28
Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?	BUY	99.8¢	1.102	Feb 28
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	98.3¢	1.36	Feb 28
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	98.4¢	1.362	Feb 28
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	SELL	98.9¢	1.3	Feb 28

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing6.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.36

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)6.0%

Win Consistency50.0%

Profit Factor0.17

Drawdown Resilience0.14

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.14

Weekly Sharpe est.0.11

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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