0xdc3f40...b92473

Smart Score

Win Rate

64.3%

Total P&L

-$6

Trade Count

465

Sharpe Ratio

-1.72

Sortino Ratio

-1.69

Max Drawdown

2596.1%

ROI

-0.2%

Profit Factor

0.80

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

01.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	94.7¢	6.336	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9PM ET	BUY	98.0¢	6.122	Mar 4
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?	SELL	96.0¢	5.19	Mar 4
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?	BUY	96.5¢	5.181	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5PM ET	BUY	99.5¢	8.04	Mar 4
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	97.3¢	7.2	Mar 4
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	97.4¢	7.187	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3PM ET	BUY	99.0¢	6.061	Mar 4
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	96.7¢	8.27	Mar 4
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	96.8¢	8.264	Mar 4
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	98.0¢	5.1	Mar 4
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	96.0¢	7.29	Mar 4
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	96.7¢	8.26	Mar 4
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	96.9¢	8.256	Mar 4
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	96.0¢	7.292	Mar 4
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-2.5)	BUY	94.0¢	6.383	Mar 4
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	91.6¢	10.9	Mar 4
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	91.7¢	10.905	Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	96.6¢	5.17	Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	96.7¢	5.171	Mar 4

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing1.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.07

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)1.2%

Win Consistency39.4%

Profit Factor0.03

Drawdown Resilience0.03

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.03

Weekly Sharpe est.0.02

Trading Activity465 trades · 38 active days

P&L Calendar

$5058d profit29d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue