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0xdc8d49...c784bc

0xdc8d49...c784bc
Smart Score
46
Win Rate
77.9%
Total P&L
+$44.9K
Trade Count
974
Sharpe Ratio
0.45
Sortino Ratio
21.64
Max Drawdown
175.5%
ROI
8.1%
Profit Factor
2.60
Kelly Fraction
0.479
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
046.4/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL60.0¢1,705.84Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL60.0¢220.16Mar 4
Will Trump's remarks not air?BUY99.0¢281.515Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL55.3¢1,000Mar 4
Will Trump say "Build your own" or "Make your own" during tech signing event on Wednesday?BUY99.0¢518.75Mar 4
Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in March?BUY97.0¢16.7Mar 4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?BUY96.4¢2,000Mar 4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?BUY93.0¢705.44Mar 4
Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in March?BUY97.0¢133.253Mar 4
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?BUY43.0¢20Mar 4
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?BUY43.0¢824.7Mar 4
Will Leavitt say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during the next White House Press Briefing?BUY99.0¢187.73Mar 4
Will Leavitt say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during the next White House Press Briefing?BUY99.0¢5.98Mar 4
Will Leavitt say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during the next White House Press Briefing?BUY99.0¢17.26Mar 4
Will Leavitt say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during the next White House Press Briefing?BUY99.0¢5.69Mar 4
Will Leavitt say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during the next White House Press Briefing?BUY99.0¢79.18Mar 4
Will Trump cut off trade with Spain?BUY92.0¢30Mar 4
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?BUY93.4¢3,746.18Mar 4
Will Hillary say "Victim" during her Epstein testimony?BUY99.0¢55.81Mar 4
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?BUY99.2¢2,000Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%3%30–50%8%50–70%10%70–80%18%80–90%57%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing46.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.55
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)42.2%
Win Consistency68.8%
Profit Factor1.21
Drawdown Resilience0.97
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.97
Weekly Sharpe est.0.74
Trading Activity974 trades · 36 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$240,1279d profit27d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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