0xdd06e1...a43f11

Smart Score

Win Rate

85.7%

Total P&L

-$9

Trade Count

196

Sharpe Ratio

0.71

Sortino Ratio

1.36

Max Drawdown

18.8%

ROI

-0.0%

Profit Factor

-29.72

Kelly Fraction

0.886

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

00/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Google Gemini score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	BUY	99.7¢	5.015	Mar 5
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $100B and $200B at market close on IPO day?	BUY	99.6¢	5.02	Mar 5
Will Communist Party of Nepal (UML) win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?	BUY	99.6¢	5.02	Mar 5
Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	BUY	99.7¢	5.015	Mar 5
Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $20 end of March?	BUY	99.9¢	5.005	Mar 5
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of March 2 above $275?	BUY	99.3¢	5.035	Mar 5
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?	BUY	99.9¢	5.005	Mar 5
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 2?	BUY	99.7¢	5.015	Mar 5
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?	BUY	98.7¢	5.066	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?	BUY	99.9¢	5.005	Mar 5
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	5.005	Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?	BUY	99.2¢	5.04	Mar 5
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $500B and $600B at market close on IPO day?	BUY	99.6¢	5.02	Feb 18
Will Claude 5 be released on February 20, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	5.005	Feb 18
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?	BUY	99.9¢	5.005	Feb 18
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by February 28?	BUY	99.1¢	5.045	Feb 12
Will Vicky Dávila win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	BUY	99.3¢	5.035	Feb 12
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?	BUY	99.3¢	5.035	Feb 12
Will Frans Timmermans become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?	BUY	99.8¢	5.01	Feb 12
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after March 2026 meeting?	BUY	99.6¢	5.02	Feb 12

Analytics

Unlock full analytics on Accrue

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing0

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.00

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.0%

Win Consistency65.9%

Profit Factor0.00

Drawdown Resilience0.00

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.00

Weekly Sharpe est.0.00

Trading Activity196 trades · 24 active days

P&L Calendar

$5022d profit22d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

Unlock Full Analytics