0xdd1b8c...a2ff31

Smart Score

Win Rate

48.4%

Total P&L

+$25

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-1.26

Sortino Ratio

-1.35

Max Drawdown

3175.1%

ROI

1.5%

Profit Factor

1.62

Kelly Fraction

0.185

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

09.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Trump’s approval rating be at least 43.0 on March 6, 2026?	BUY	5.5¢	20	Mar 5
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 42.5 and 42.9 on March 6, 2026?	BUY	49.7¢	86.64	Mar 5
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 42.5 and 42.9 on March 6, 2026?	BUY	47.8¢	20	Mar 5
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 42.5 and 42.9 on March 6, 2026?	BUY	46.0¢	52	Mar 5
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 42.5 and 42.9 on March 6, 2026?	BUY	45.0¢	15	Mar 5
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 42.5 and 42.9 on March 6, 2026?	BUY	43.6¢	8.88	Mar 5
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 41.0 and 41.4 on March 6, 2026?	SELL	1.2¢	12.99	Mar 5
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 41.0 and 41.4 on March 6, 2026?	SELL	1.5¢	93.5	Mar 5
Trump approval Up or Down this week?	BUY	46.0¢	100	Mar 4
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 41.5 and 41.9 on March 6, 2026?	SELL	17.0¢	188.9	Mar 4
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?	SELL	89.0¢	20	Mar 4
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 41.5 and 41.9 on March 6, 2026?	BUY	40.0¢	82.46	Mar 4
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 41.0 and 41.4 on March 6, 2026?	SELL	8.9¢	0.62	Mar 4
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 41.0 and 41.4 on March 6, 2026?	SELL	8.9¢	99.38	Mar 4
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 41.0 and 41.4 on March 6, 2026?	BUY	4.0¢	200	Mar 3
Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 41.0 on March 6, 2026?	SELL	6.5¢	75.22	Mar 2
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 42.0 and 42.4 on March 6, 2026?	SELL	33.0¢	87.66	Mar 2
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 42.5 and 42.9 on March 6, 2026?	SELL	13.0¢	30	Mar 2
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 42.0 and 42.4 on March 6, 2026?	SELL	34.0¢	5.6	Mar 2
Will Trump’s approval rating be at least 43.0 on March 6, 2026?	SELL	8.7¢	75.01	Mar 2

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing9.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.52

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)8.6%

Win Consistency54.8%

Profit Factor0.24

Drawdown Resilience0.20

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.20

Weekly Sharpe est.0.15

Trading Activity82 trades · 16 active days

P&L Calendar

$5392d profit14d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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