0xdd1cba...1663a3

Smart Score

Win Rate

51.5%

Total P&L

-$5

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.17

Sortino Ratio

-0.35

Max Drawdown

3200.8%

ROI

-1.8%

Profit Factor

0.89

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

011/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	BUY	0.2¢	500	Mar 5
Anthropic IPO before 2027?	SELL	65.0¢	6.99	Mar 5
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?	BUY	29.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?	SELL	69.0¢	5	Mar 3
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?	BUY	35.0¢	5	Mar 3
Will Apple (AAPL) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of March 2?	SELL	24.0¢	20	Mar 2
Will Apple (AAPL) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of March 2?	BUY	28.0¢	10	Mar 2
Will Apple (AAPL) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of March 2?	BUY	28.0¢	5	Mar 2
Will Apple (AAPL) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of March 2?	SELL	27.0¢	5	Mar 2
Will Apple (AAPL) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of March 2?	BUY	10.0¢	5.3	Mar 1
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?	BUY	19.0¢	6	Mar 1
Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	SELL	1.2¢	157.58	Mar 1
Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	SELL	1.2¢	92.417	Mar 1
Revolut IPO before 2027?	BUY	6.0¢	17	Mar 1
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	SELL	37.8¢	2.65	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	49.0¢	2.653	Feb 28
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	SELL	15.0¢	15	Feb 28
Databricks IPO before 2027?	SELL	80.0¢	5	Feb 28
Will Apple (AAPL) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of March 2?	BUY	10.0¢	4.7	Feb 27
Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	BUY	0.4¢	250	Feb 25

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing11

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.60

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)10.0%

Win Consistency51.3%

Profit Factor0.29

Drawdown Resilience0.23

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.23

Weekly Sharpe est.0.18

Trading Activity89 trades · 43 active days

P&L Calendar

$4319d profit24d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue