0xdd1f6d...6acc26

Smart Score

Win Rate

21.3%

Total P&L

+$16.6K

Trade Count

3,974

Sharpe Ratio

0.51

Sortino Ratio

2.60

Max Drawdown

387.4%

ROI

13.6%

Profit Factor

10.70

Kelly Fraction

0.193

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

029.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	39.0¢	232	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	39.5¢	445.73	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	39.3¢	306	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	39.6¢	444	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	39.2¢	275.73	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	9.4¢	30	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	26.7¢	10	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	10.1¢	442.17	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	6.5¢	16.043	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	6.5¢	7	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	6.5¢	56.25	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	22.9¢	117.89	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	SELL	51.3¢	138	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	BUY	84.9¢	138	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	33.9¢	329.39	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	28.6¢	26.47	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	29.1¢	302.92	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	7.0¢	216.13	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	16.4¢	200	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	17.0¢	348.8	Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing29.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.64

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)27.2%

Win Consistency43.7%

Profit Factor0.78

Drawdown Resilience0.63

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.63

Weekly Sharpe est.0.48

Trading Activity3,974 trades · 81 active days

P&L Calendar

+$9,74542d profit39d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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