0xdd3c7a...c60035

Smart Score

Win Rate

55.6%

Total P&L

+$1.1K

Trade Count

116

Sharpe Ratio

2.40

Sortino Ratio

14.58

Max Drawdown

26.1%

ROI

6.5%

Profit Factor

2.00

Kelly Fraction

0.278

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

064.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	SELL	18.0¢	526.31	Mar 5
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	19.0¢	526.316	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?	BUY	41.2¢	424.591	Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BUY	14.8¢	6,762.165	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	SELL	27.1¢	700	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	SELL	28.4¢	1,000	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	SELL	30.2¢	1,000	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	SELL	27.0¢	20.556	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	18.5¢	1,200	Mar 5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?	SELL	18.0¢	465.18	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	20.0¢	50.98	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	20.0¢	25.49	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	20.0¢	0.83	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	20.0¢	3.46	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	20.0¢	5.75	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	20.0¢	6	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	20.0¢	1.32	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	20.0¢	1.3	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	20.0¢	4.54	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	20.0¢	850	Mar 5

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Active64.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.56

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)59.0%

Win Consistency44.4%

Profit Factor1.68

Drawdown Resilience1.36

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.36

Weekly Sharpe est.1.04

Trading Activity116 trades · 10 active days

P&L Calendar

$4624d profit6d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue