0xdd434b...820520

Smart Score

Win Rate

91.8%

Total P&L

-$149

Trade Count

245

Sharpe Ratio

-0.89

Sortino Ratio

-0.93

Max Drawdown

254.0%

ROI

-0.6%

Profit Factor

0.40

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

00/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?	BUY	98.9¢	100	Mar 5
Will BNB dip to $300 in March?	BUY	99.3¢	100	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in March?	SELL	99.5¢	93.42	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in March?	SELL	98.4¢	100	Mar 4
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	BUY	92.6¢	107	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in March?	BUY	98.2¢	100	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in March?	BUY	99.2¢	110	Mar 4
Opinion FDV above $4B one day after launch?	SELL	99.8¢	120	Mar 2
Will BNB dip to $300 in March?	SELL	98.4¢	23.16	Mar 2
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?	SELL	98.9¢	125	Mar 2
Will BNB dip to $300 in March?	BUY	98.4¢	23.16	Mar 2
Opinion FDV above $4B one day after launch?	BUY	99.7¢	120	Mar 2
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?	BUY	98.7¢	125	Mar 2
Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch?	SELL	97.9¢	34	Mar 1
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?	BUY	92.0¢	75	Mar 1
Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch?	BUY	97.0¢	34	Mar 1
Gensyn FDV above $2B one day after launch?	SELL	99.5¢	95	Feb 27
Gensyn FDV above $2B one day after launch?	SELL	99.5¢	14	Feb 27
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	99.5¢	102	Feb 26
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?	SELL	99.1¢	100	Feb 25

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing0

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.00

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.0%

Win Consistency38.3%

Profit Factor0.00

Drawdown Resilience0.00

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.00

Weekly Sharpe est.0.00

Trading Activity245 trades · 65 active days

P&L Calendar

$4,49734d profit31d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue