Accrue
Log inGet Access

0xdd5db0...f41614

0xdd5db0...f41614
Smart Score
6
Win Rate
59.5%
Total P&L
-$757
Trade Count
295
Sharpe Ratio
-0.87
Sortino Ratio
-1.30
Max Drawdown
332.8%
ROI
-1.1%
Profit Factor
0.91
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
06.2/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY19.0¢263.158Mar 5
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY19.0¢526.316Mar 5
Will KPop Demon Hunters win Best Animated Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY93.0¢167.56Mar 5
Will KPop Demon Hunters win Best Animated Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY93.0¢582.436Mar 5
Will there be between 10 and 13 US strikes on Somalia in March 2026?BUY34.5¢14.5Mar 4
Will there be between 10 and 13 US strikes on Somalia in March 2026?BUY30.0¢16.693Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY27.0¢92.593Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY28.0¢357.143Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY27.0¢370.37Mar 4
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY53.6¢400.87Mar 3
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 3, 2026?BUY99.7¢668.004Mar 3
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY42.0¢1,190.476Mar 3
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?BUY37.0¢135.135Mar 3
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?BUY70.0¢142.857Mar 3
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?BUY38.0¢263.158Mar 3
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?BUY68.5¢200.116Mar 3
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?BUY72.8¢412.077Mar 2
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?BUY37.0¢270.27Mar 2
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?BUY59.6¢83.894Mar 2
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?BUY23.0¢130.435Mar 1

Analytics

Unlock full analytics on Accrue
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%7%< 10%8%10–20%9%20–30%9%30–50%19%50–70%15%70–80%13%80–90%20%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing6.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.34
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)5.6%
Win Consistency55.1%
Profit Factor0.16
Drawdown Resilience0.13
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.13
Weekly Sharpe est.0.10
Trading Activity295 trades · 51 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$22,25514d profit37d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

Unlock Full Analytics