0xdd7b14...28916f

Smart Score

Win Rate

43.3%

Total P&L

-$175

Trade Count

232

Sharpe Ratio

0.75

Sortino Ratio

0.98

Max Drawdown

312.7%

ROI

-0.8%

Profit Factor

-0.09

Kelly Fraction

1.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

02.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	96.7¢	8.26	Mar 5
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	96.9¢	8.256	Mar 5
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	96.0¢	10.42	Mar 4
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	96.0¢	10.417	Mar 4
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	SELL	84.0¢	1.04	Mar 4
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	SELL	84.0¢	7.284	Mar 4
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	94.0¢	10.63	Mar 4
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	94.0¢	10.638	Mar 4
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	BUY	84.0¢	8.333	Mar 4
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	SELL	68.0¢	8.84	Mar 4
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	BUY	68.0¢	8.824	Mar 4
Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)	BUY	94.0¢	8.511	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2AM ET	BUY	99.9¢	10.01	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 5PM ET	SELL	99.9¢	7.08	Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 5PM ET	BUY	98.8¢	7.085	Mar 3
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	97.9¢	5.1	Mar 3
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	97.9¢	5.107	Mar 3
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	96.9¢	5.15	Mar 3
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	95.8¢	5.2	Mar 3
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?	SELL	99.6¢	1.17	Mar 3

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing2.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.16

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)2.6%

Win Consistency55.7%

Profit Factor0.08

Drawdown Resilience0.06

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.06

Weekly Sharpe est.0.05

Trading Activity232 trades · 20 active days

P&L Calendar

$6935d profit15d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue