0xddbcdc...965f6f

Smart Score

Win Rate

33.3%

Total P&L

+$434

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.69

Sortino Ratio

-0.61

Max Drawdown

35.0%

ROI

7.7%

Profit Factor

13.27

Kelly Fraction

0.308

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

042.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 2°C on March 3?	BUY	65.0¢	1,322	Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 23?	BUY	79.0¢	18.987	Jan 22
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 30?	BUY	58.0¢	18.966	Dec 30
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	98.7¢	482.92	Nov 18
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	98.8¢	482.925	Nov 17
Ethereum Up or Down on October 28?	BUY	26.0¢	19.231	Oct 28
Will the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026?	SELL	0.5¢	2,175	Oct 24
Will the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026?	BUY	0.6¢	2,175	Oct 23
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	0.8¢	1,583.33	Oct 23
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	0.9¢	1,583.333	Oct 23
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	0.9¢	480	Oct 22
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	99.1¢	482.21	Oct 22
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	99.2¢	482.218	Oct 20
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	0.9¢	480	Oct 20
Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?	SELL	0.7¢	481.25	Oct 20
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	SELL	99.2¢	472.21	Oct 20
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	BUY	99.2¢	472.218	Oct 20
Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?	BUY	0.8¢	481.25	Oct 20
Will George Russell be the 2025 Drivers Champion?	SELL	0.8¢	843.33	Oct 20
Will George Russell be the 2025 Drivers Champion?	BUY	0.9¢	843.333	Oct 19

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing42.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.36

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)39.0%

Win Consistency42.9%

Profit Factor1.12

Drawdown Resilience0.90

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.90

Weekly Sharpe est.0.69

Trading Activity38 trades · 20 active days

P&L Calendar

$9414d profit16d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue