0xde00a9...e5f424

Smart Score

Win Rate

60.0%

Total P&L

+$5

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

4.10

Sortino Ratio

5684.34

Max Drawdown

3.2%

ROI

0.7%

Profit Factor

23.83

Kelly Fraction

0.575

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

071.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	98.7¢	112	Mar 5
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	96.5¢	24	Mar 5
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	SELL	98.7¢	42	Mar 5
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	98.8¢	112	Mar 5
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	SELL	96.1¢	50	Mar 4
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?	BUY	96.0¢	74	Feb 26
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?	BUY	98.6¢	47	Feb 25
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	96.5¢	24	Feb 25
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?	BUY	98.4¢	24	Feb 25
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	BUY	96.3¢	50	Feb 25
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship?	BUY	98.8¢	69	Feb 24
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	96.2¢	42	Feb 24

Quantitative Edge Profile

Active71.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.92

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)64.9%

Win Consistency57.1%

Profit Factor1.85

Drawdown Resilience1.50

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.50

Weekly Sharpe est.1.14

Trading Activity12 trades · 5 active days

P&L Calendar

$2082d profit3d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue