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0xde357e...9f8c35

0xde357e...9f8c35
Smart Score
25
Win Rate
55.6%
Total P&L
+$207
Trade Count
90
Sharpe Ratio
-0.62
Sortino Ratio
-0.55
Max Drawdown
3214.4%
ROI
3.4%
Profit Factor
10.87
Kelly Fraction
0.504
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
025.2/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11PM ETBUY98.0¢6.122Mar 4
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL96.7¢9.27Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 8PM ETBUY98.3¢10.178Mar 3
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY97.0¢9.278Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 11PM ETBUY98.0¢9.184Feb 28
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL97.8¢6.12Feb 28
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 8PM ETBUY98.0¢7.143Feb 28
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY97.9¢6.129Feb 28
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL98.0¢1.21Feb 28
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL98.0¢7.964Feb 28
Spread: Le Havre AC (-1.5)BUY98.8¢8.097Feb 28
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?SELL65.0¢13.84Feb 28
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY98.0¢9.184Feb 28
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL88.4¢10.14Feb 28
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY88.7¢10.147Feb 28
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?SELL52.0¢15.38Feb 28
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?BUY65.0¢13.846Feb 28
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?SELL83.4¢5.66Feb 27
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY88.3¢5.663Feb 27
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL93.5¢8.53Feb 27

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%43%50–70%70–80%9%80–90%43%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing25.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.39
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)22.9%
Win Consistency42.9%
Profit Factor0.66
Drawdown Resilience0.53
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.53
Weekly Sharpe est.0.40
Trading Activity48 trades · 11 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$932d profit9d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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