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0xde44a4...664d4a

0xde44a4...664d4a
Smart Score
23
Win Rate
90.9%
Total P&L
+$7
Trade Count
66
Sharpe Ratio
0.11
Sortino Ratio
0.10
Max Drawdown
489.1%
ROI
0.2%
Profit Factor
1.44
Kelly Fraction
0.279
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
023.1/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL PlayoffsBUY83.0¢13.325Mar 5
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO5) - LPL PlayoffsBUY73.0¢6.89Mar 1
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?BUY87.3¢11.68Feb 14
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?BUY85.0¢10.72Feb 11
Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?BUY96.9¢22.693Feb 1
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?BUY56.0¢3.411Feb 1
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?BUY80.5¢23.901Dec 27
Nothing Ever Happens: World Leader Out EditionSELL96.4¢15.81Dec 27
Nothing Ever Happens: World Leader Out EditionBUY87.0¢15.816Dec 6
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?BUY95.9¢17.758Nov 11
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?BUY86.0¢17.035Oct 28
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?BUY94.0¢14.649Oct 25
Meteora FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY95.0¢6.768Oct 24
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?BUY65.0¢7Oct 24
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?BUY77.0¢4.182Oct 9
DoubleZero FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY95.0¢3.221Oct 1
Will Elon tweet 400 or more times August 29–September 5?BUY92.0¢1.957Sep 1
Will Ethereum reach $5200 in August?SELL99.9¢2.9Sep 1
Will Ethereum reach $5200 in August?BUY87.0¢2.908Aug 26
Will Elon tweet 400–424 times August 15–August 22?BUY96.8¢2.531Aug 18

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%9%50–70%4%70–80%27%80–90%59%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing23.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.27
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)21.0%
Win Consistency78.2%
Profit Factor0.60
Drawdown Resilience0.49
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.49
Weekly Sharpe est.0.37
Trading Activity45 trades · 39 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$1714d profit34d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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