0xde4c8a...12fa5f

Smart Score

Win Rate

72.7%

Total P&L

+$9.0K

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-1.50

Sortino Ratio

-2.35

Max Drawdown

9560.6%

ROI

7.3%

Profit Factor

2.36

Kelly Fraction

0.419

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

010.7/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on March 4?	BUY	98.9¢	20,303.85	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on March 4?	BUY	98.9¢	96.15	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 3?	BUY	96.5¢	20,000	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C or higher on March 2?	BUY	98.0¢	19,500	Mar 2
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 1?	BUY	72.0¢	16,000	Mar 1
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on February 26?	BUY	99.5¢	14,800	Feb 25
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on February 24?	BUY	99.6¢	14,700	Feb 23
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 25 be less than 2,000,000?	BUY	10.0¢	500	Feb 23
Will Trump say "Winter Olympic" or "Winter Olympics" this week? (February 22)	BUY	89.0¢	27	Feb 22
Will Trump say "Winter Olympic" or "Winter Olympics" this week? (February 22)	BUY	89.0¢	30	Feb 22
Will Trump say "Winter Olympic" or "Winter Olympics" this week? (February 22)	BUY	82.0¢	14,643.9	Feb 22
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on February 21?	BUY	41.0¢	12,000	Feb 21
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?	BUY	23.5¢	10,000	Feb 20
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on February 19?	BUY	53.0¢	8,000	Feb 19

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing10.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.59

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)9.7%

Win Consistency36.4%

Profit Factor0.28

Drawdown Resilience0.22

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.22

Weekly Sharpe est.0.17

Trading Activity14 trades · 11 active days

P&L Calendar

$123,0910d profit11d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue