0xde5f1e...115e23

Smart Score

Win Rate

95.8%

Total P&L

+$5

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.64

Sortino Ratio

10.05

Max Drawdown

39.1%

ROI

0.9%

Profit Factor

2089.20

Kelly Fraction

0.958

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

071.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?	BUY	99.6¢	5.08	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?	BUY	99.7¢	5.075	Feb 8
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?	BUY	99.6¢	5.08	Jan 8
Will Ethereum hit $14,000 by December 31?	BUY	99.8¢	5.07	Dec 5
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?	BUY	99.9¢	5.065	Nov 28
Will Bitcoin reach $150k in October?	BUY	98.7¢	5.127	Oct 20
Will Bitcoin reach $130K in September?	BUY	99.5¢	5.085	Sep 25
Will Ethereum reach $4000 in July?	BUY	97.0¢	75.748	Jul 10
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?	BUY	98.5¢	5.787	Jun 17
Will Bitcoin reach $150K in June?	BUY	99.1¢	40.525	Jun 13
Will Ethereum reach $3500 in May?	BUY	99.9¢	51.251	May 29
Will Ethereum reach $2400 in April?	BUY	99.8¢	50.14	Apr 28
Will Ethereum reach $3000 in April?	BUY	99.9¢	60.65	Apr 21
Pump.fun airdrop in Q1 2025?	BUY	99.7¢	5.446	Mar 26
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31?	BUY	99.8¢	21.914	Mar 16
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by March 31?	BUY	98.9¢	22.356	Mar 11
Will Ethereum hit $5000 by February 28 2025?	BUY	99.9¢	42.782	Feb 18
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by February 28, 2025?	BUY	99.1¢	46.145	Feb 13
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?	BUY	98.8¢	5.87	Jan 26
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?	BUY	99.4¢	6.207	Jan 19

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Active71.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.95

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)65.3%

Win Consistency70.8%

Profit Factor1.87

Drawdown Resilience1.51

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.51

Weekly Sharpe est.1.15

Trading Activity13 trades · 13 active days

P&L Calendar

$3170d profit13d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue