0xde834d...8b89f0

Smart Score

Win Rate

88.2%

Total P&L

+$2

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.81

Sortino Ratio

-0.49

Max Drawdown

1580.7%

ROI

0.4%

Profit Factor

61.89

Kelly Fraction

0.868

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

031.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Mistral have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?	BUY	99.8¢	18.77	Mar 5
Will Meituan have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?	BUY	99.7¢	21.22	Mar 5
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?	SELL	98.5¢	23	Mar 1
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?	BUY	98.7¢	35	Feb 28
Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?	BUY	99.9¢	19	Feb 6
Will Oracle be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?	BUY	99.9¢	24	Feb 6
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?	BUY	99.9¢	21	Feb 6
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	22	Feb 6
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?	BUY	98.6¢	23	Feb 6
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?	SELL	99.6¢	8.8	Jan 30
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?	SELL	99.6¢	8	Jan 30
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?	SELL	99.8¢	22.66	Jan 30
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?	SELL	99.5¢	15	Jan 29
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	22.66	Jan 29
Will Grok 4.20 be released on January 29, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	30.88	Jan 29
Will Grok 4.20 be released on January 28, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	53.77	Jan 28
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $430 on January 26?	BUY	99.9¢	53.11	Jan 26
Will the US next strike Iran on January 22, 2026 (ET)?	BUY	99.9¢	19.8	Jan 23
Will "End of Beginning - Djo" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?	BUY	99.9¢	33.4	Jan 23
Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?	BUY	99.5¢	23	Jan 16

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing31.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.72

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)28.5%

Win Consistency64.7%

Profit Factor0.81

Drawdown Resilience0.66

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.66

Weekly Sharpe est.0.50

Trading Activity24 trades · 11 active days

P&L Calendar

$4262d profit9d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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