0xde8748...eb11a2

Smart Score

Win Rate

40.0%

Total P&L

-$226

Trade Count

768

Sharpe Ratio

0.58

Sortino Ratio

14.16

Max Drawdown

92.4%

ROI

-0.2%

Profit Factor

1.06

Kelly Fraction

0.021

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

026/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Internet Access restored in Iran by March 14, 2026?	SELL	94.0¢	146.86	Mar 4
Internet Access restored in Iran by March 7, 2026?	BUY	1.5¢	648.501	Mar 4
Internet Access restored in Iran by March 14, 2026?	SELL	93.0¢	3.14	Mar 4
Internet Access restored in Iran by March 14, 2026?	BUY	70.0¢	100	Mar 4
Internet Access restored in Iran by March 14, 2026?	BUY	70.0¢	50	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	48.0¢	400	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	60.9¢	32.08	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	60.9¢	32.841	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	60.9¢	297	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	60.9¢	372.594	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	60.9¢	6.568	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	60.9¢	1.642	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	60.9¢	718.5	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	60.9¢	16.42	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	60.8¢	860.42	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	60.3¢	832.54	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	60.3¢	11.66	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	60.3¢	10	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	60.3¢	8.292	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	60.2¢	1,150	Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing26

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.43

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)23.7%

Win Consistency43.5%

Profit Factor0.68

Drawdown Resilience0.55

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.55

Weekly Sharpe est.0.42

Trading Activity768 trades · 35 active days

P&L Calendar

$4,83014d profit20d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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