0xde88bf...c0b496

Smart Score

Win Rate

85.8%

Total P&L

+$12

Trade Count

203

Sharpe Ratio

-1.63

Sortino Ratio

-2.08

Max Drawdown

7124.3%

ROI

3.6%

Profit Factor

1.75

Kelly Fraction

0.369

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

015.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	SELL	92.8¢	0.85	Mar 5
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on March 5?	BUY	99.8¢	1.002	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $76,000 on March 5?	BUY	96.2¢	1.04	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 5?	BUY	99.5¢	1.005	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on March 5?	BUY	99.9¢	5.005	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	SELL	90.0¢	1	Mar 5
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 7, 2026?	BUY	98.7¢	1.013	Mar 5
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 6, 2026?	BUY	99.5¢	1.005	Mar 5
Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?	BUY	92.0¢	1.087	Mar 5
Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?	BUY	65.0¢	1.538	Mar 5
Houthi strike on Israel by March 6, 2026?	BUY	93.0¢	1.075	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	10.0¢	10	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	10.0¢	10	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	38.0¢	2.632	Mar 4
Houthi strike on Israel by March 6, 2026?	BUY	89.0¢	2.247	Mar 4
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?	BUY	50.0¢	4	Mar 4
Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?	BUY	61.0¢	3.279	Mar 4
Houthi strike on Israel by March 6, 2026?	BUY	89.0¢	4.494	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	54.0¢	1.852	Mar 4
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 7, 2026?	BUY	98.4¢	1.016	Mar 4

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing15.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.84

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)13.8%

Win Consistency41.3%

Profit Factor0.40

Drawdown Resilience0.32

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.32

Weekly Sharpe est.0.24

Trading Activity203 trades · 13 active days

P&L Calendar

$2780d profit13d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue