0xde9cac...c4e014

Smart Score

Win Rate

36.7%

Total P&L

+$242

Trade Count

899

Sharpe Ratio

-0.05

Sortino Ratio

-0.11

Max Drawdown

11242.4%

ROI

6.7%

Profit Factor

1.78

Kelly Fraction

0.161

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

012.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C or higher on March 5?	SELL	0.8¢	80.6	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on March 5?	SELL	85.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on March 5?	SELL	81.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on March 5?	SELL	85.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on March 5?	SELL	20.0¢	8.28	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on March 5?	SELL	85.0¢	20	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on March 5?	SELL	15.0¢	38.5	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on March 5?	BUY	65.0¢	10	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on March 5?	SELL	17.0¢	21.85	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C or higher on March 5?	SELL	3.9¢	10	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C or higher on March 5?	SELL	3.5¢	10	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on March 5?	SELL	29.0¢	10	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on March 5?	SELL	27.0¢	10	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on March 5?	SELL	23.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C or higher on March 5?	SELL	3.0¢	10	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on March 5?	SELL	29.0¢	10	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on March 5?	SELL	26.0¢	7.89	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on March 5?	BUY	15.0¢	5.47	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on March 5?	BUY	15.0¢	23.529	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C or higher on March 5?	BUY	2.0¢	20.86	Mar 5

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing12.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.68

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)11.3%

Win Consistency39.3%

Profit Factor0.32

Drawdown Resilience0.26

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.26

Weekly Sharpe est.0.20

Trading Activity899 trades · 28 active days

P&L Calendar

+$15118d profit10d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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