0xdea1af...ee9931

Smart Score

Win Rate

80.0%

Total P&L

+$31

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.89

Sortino Ratio

-0.44

Max Drawdown

4.5%

ROI

4.1%

Profit Factor

29.31

Kelly Fraction

0.773

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

058.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 5, 2026?	BUY	89.0¢	35.472	Mar 5
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 4, 2026?	SELL	99.2¢	28.65	Mar 5
Houthi strike on Israel by March 6, 2026?	BUY	90.0¢	111.111	Mar 5
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 3?	SELL	99.1¢	12.22	Mar 5
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 6, 2026?	SELL	99.0¢	91.95	Mar 5
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 4, 2026?	BUY	90.3¢	28.659	Mar 4
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?	SELL	99.2¢	26.08	Mar 4
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 3?	BUY	87.0¢	12.23	Mar 3
Will Iran strike Israel on March 2?	BUY	98.0¢	10.643	Mar 2
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?	BUY	92.0¢	15.217	Mar 2
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?	BUY	92.0¢	10.87	Mar 2
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 6, 2026?	BUY	87.0¢	91.954	Mar 2
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 3, 2026?	SELL	98.6¢	112.35	Mar 2
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026?	SELL	99.8¢	3.12	Mar 2
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026?	BUY	96.0¢	3.125	Mar 1
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 3, 2026?	BUY	89.0¢	112.36	Mar 1
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?	BUY	96.3¢	102.804	Feb 28

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Active58.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.21

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)53.0%

Win Consistency80.0%

Profit Factor1.52

Drawdown Resilience1.22

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.22

Weekly Sharpe est.0.93

Trading Activity17 trades · 6 active days

P&L Calendar

$2130d profit5d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue