0xdf059e...fc3e27

Smart Score

Win Rate

58.2%

Total P&L

+$1.2K

Trade Count

3,712

Sharpe Ratio

0.38

Sortino Ratio

2.55

Max Drawdown

11467.1%

ROI

3.4%

Profit Factor

1.32

Kelly Fraction

0.140

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

018.7/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	BUY	60.0¢	11.75	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	63.2¢	45.905	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	BUY	54.0¢	26.981	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	60.9¢	1.806	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	60.0¢	2.267	Mar 5
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	BUY	74.0¢	1.486	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	SELL	38.0¢	35.02	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	24.0¢	43.625	Mar 4
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	BUY	73.8¢	114.608	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	BUY	18.0¢	111.056	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	SELL	64.0¢	77.63	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	SELL	63.0¢	4.74	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	SELL	63.2¢	142.1	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	SELL	55.0¢	0.1	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	SELL	55.0¢	6.12	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	BUY	31.0¢	112.742	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	BUY	27.7¢	117.964	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	66.7¢	40.71	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	BUY	65.0¢	3.692	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	SELL	36.8¢	32.32	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing18.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.03

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)17.0%

Win Consistency30.5%

Profit Factor0.49

Drawdown Resilience0.39

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.39

Weekly Sharpe est.0.30

Trading Activity3,712 trades · 22 active days

P&L Calendar

$11,5431d profit21d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue