0xdf3d86...e2516e

Smart Score

Win Rate

21.4%

Total P&L

+$62

Trade Count

207

Sharpe Ratio

1.96

Sortino Ratio

34.91

Max Drawdown

26.2%

ROI

5.0%

Profit Factor

1.51

Kelly Fraction

0.072

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

056.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	43.4¢	2.304	Mar 5
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	26.9¢	3.717	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?	BUY	9.1¢	11	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?	BUY	10.0¢	10	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?	BUY	12.0¢	8.333	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?	BUY	12.0¢	8.333	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	10.8¢	9.259	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	16.4¢	6.098	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	17.5¢	5.714	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	3.3¢	30.735	Mar 5
Will KP Sharma Oli be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?	BUY	2.5¢	40	Mar 5
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	BUY	15.0¢	13	Mar 4
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	SELL	78.0¢	2.5	Mar 4
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?	BUY	51.0¢	2.412	Mar 4
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	SELL	78.0¢	1.58	Mar 4
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?	BUY	7.0¢	21.143	Mar 4
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	BUY	46.0¢	2.174	Mar 4
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	2.2¢	45.455	Mar 4
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	BUY	85.0¢	1.176	Mar 4
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	BUY	43.0¢	2.326	Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Active56.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.10

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)51.3%

Win Consistency50.9%

Profit Factor1.47

Drawdown Resilience1.18

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.18

Weekly Sharpe est.0.90

Trading Activity207 trades · 6 active days

P&L Calendar

$271d profit5d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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