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0xdf42aa...631a14

0xdf42aa...631a14
Smart Score
25
Win Rate
5.3%
Total P&L
-$1.6K
Trade Count
37
Sharpe Ratio
0.03
Sortino Ratio
0.19
Max Drawdown
35.1%
ROI
-10.6%
Profit Factor
0.78
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
024.5/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?BUY8.2¢7,398.251Sep 17
Will Trump resign today?SELL0.1¢27,091.5Sep 2
Will Trump resign today?BUY0.4¢14,257.5Sep 2
Will Trump resign today?BUY0.5¢12,834Sep 2
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting?BUY0.1¢64,753.765Jun 16
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?BUY2.4¢4,472.083Jun 8
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?BUY2.1¢9,356.667Jun 8
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?BUY1.9¢26,315.789Jun 7
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?BUY2.4¢12,750.875May 6
No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?BUY0.9¢35,141.876Mar 18
No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?BUY1.2¢29,184.771Mar 17
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?BUY2.3¢26,800.088Jan 29
Commanders vs. EaglesBUY37.0¢273.73Nov 14
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?BUY2.9¢16,438.607Nov 7
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after November 2024 meeting?BUY4.3¢10,272.87Nov 1
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Wisconsin rally on Nov 1?BUY3.5¢11,954.437Nov 1
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Nevada rally on Oct 31?BUY5.6¢4,354.639Oct 31
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Nevada rally on Oct 31?BUY5.0¢4,939.492Oct 31
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Wisconsin rally on Oct 30?BUY2.8¢221.071Oct 30
Will Trump say "women's sports" during Wisconsin rally on Oct 30?BUY10.1¢2,969.918Oct 30

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%84%< 10%13%10–20%20–30%3%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing24.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.35
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)22.3%
Win Consistency10.5%
Profit Factor0.64
Drawdown Resilience0.51
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.51
Weekly Sharpe est.0.39
Trading Activity9 trades · 7 active days
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P&L Calendar
$1,8960d profit7d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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