0xdf57a3...4534a1

Smart Score

Win Rate

85.9%

Total P&L

+$39

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.33

Sortino Ratio

-0.24

Max Drawdown

104.7%

ROI

1.3%

Profit Factor

3.06

Kelly Fraction

0.578

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

028.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	78.078	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BUY	99.8¢	78.156	Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	78.078	Feb 25
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on February 3?	BUY	99.9¢	78.078	Feb 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on February 1?	BUY	99.9¢	78.078	Jan 31
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 29?	BUY	99.8¢	78.156	Jan 29
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on January 19?	BUY	99.9¢	78.078	Jan 19
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 17?	BUY	99.8¢	78.156	Jan 17
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 11?	BUY	99.9¢	78.078	Jan 11
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	78.078	Jan 6
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on January 3?	BUY	99.9¢	77.077	Jan 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on December 30?	BUY	99.9¢	77.077	Dec 29
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on December 22?	BUY	99.9¢	77.077	Dec 22
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?	BUY	99.9¢	77.787	Dec 15
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on December 9?	BUY	99.9¢	77.707	Dec 8
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on December 1?	BUY	99.9¢	77.627	Dec 1
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on December 2?	BUY	0.2¢	600	Dec 1
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on November 27?	BUY	99.9¢	78.758	Nov 26
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?	BUY	99.9¢	78.678	Nov 18
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on November 11?	BUY	99.9¢	78.598	Nov 11

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing28.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.56

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)25.8%

Win Consistency56.3%

Profit Factor0.74

Drawdown Resilience0.60

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.60

Weekly Sharpe est.0.45

Trading Activity57 trades · 41 active days

P&L Calendar

$2,4320d profit41d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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