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0xdff198...8ade19

0xdff198...8ade19
Smart Score
32
Win Rate
25.2%
Total P&L
+$8.0K
Trade Count
985
Sharpe Ratio
0.25
Sortino Ratio
6.19
Max Drawdown
12954.9%
ROI
209.4%
Profit Factor
3.91
Kelly Fraction
0.187
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
032.2/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C or higher on February 4?BUY0.2¢699.53Feb 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on February 4?SELL19.0¢5Feb 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on February 4?SELL0.4¢5.05Feb 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on February 4?BUY2.2¢110Feb 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on February 4?BUY22.1¢68Feb 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on February 4?BUY0.9¢8.33Feb 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on February 4?BUY1.0¢5.051Feb 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on February 4?BUY1.2¢359.7Feb 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on February 4?SELL22.2¢99.72Feb 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on February 3?BUY0.9¢174.14Feb 3
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on February 4?SELL6.0¢10Feb 3
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 40°F or higher on February 3?BUY1.1¢147.09Feb 3
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 40°F or higher on February 3?BUY1.1¢544.8Feb 3
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on February 3?BUY4.4¢106.75Feb 3
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on February 4?BUY8.0¢109.72Feb 3
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?BUY0.2¢4,556.95Jan 26
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?BUY1.5¢800Jan 26
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?SELL17.9¢116.13Jan 26
Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?BUY0.9¢290.22Jan 26
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?BUY1.5¢437.48Jan 26

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%96%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing32.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.77
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)29.3%
Win Consistency32.5%
Profit Factor0.84
Drawdown Resilience0.68
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.68
Weekly Sharpe est.0.52
Trading Activity985 trades · 29 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$1,7843d profit25d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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