0xe000e1...d5cbb1

Smart Score

Win Rate

56.9%

Total P&L

-$1.1K

Trade Count

1,007

Sharpe Ratio

1.07

Sortino Ratio

2.08

Max Drawdown

2668.5%

ROI

-9.0%

Profit Factor

0.25

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

00.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	71.3¢	5	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	BUY	62.0¢	30	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	54.0¢	20.12	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	70.5¢	10	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	71.2¢	5	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	BUY	61.0¢	7	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	BUY	62.0¢	20	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	51.0¢	10	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	51.0¢	20	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	70.3¢	10	Mar 5
Will France strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	86.3¢	10	Mar 5
Will France strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	86.3¢	10	Mar 5
Will France strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	86.3¢	20	Mar 5
Will France strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	86.2¢	11.19	Mar 5
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	BUY	14.9¢	12.71	Mar 5
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	BUY	28.0¢	20	Mar 4
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	BUY	30.0¢	15.62	Mar 4
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	BUY	30.0¢	1.429	Mar 4
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?	BUY	58.0¢	10	Mar 4
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?	BUY	98.0¢	30	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing0.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.05

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.8%

Win Consistency53.0%

Profit Factor0.02

Drawdown Resilience0.02

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.02

Weekly Sharpe est.0.01

Trading Activity1,007 trades · 19 active days

P&L Calendar

$2,9508d profit11d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue