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0xe00ce0...1fde69

0xe00ce0...1fde69
Smart Score
39
Win Rate
35.1%
Total P&L
+$680
Trade Count
91
Sharpe Ratio
0.69
Sortino Ratio
38.23
Max Drawdown
117.0%
ROI
26.1%
Profit Factor
3.95
Kelly Fraction
0.262
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
039/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on March 5?BUY1.3¢84.8Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 40-41°F on March 5?BUY11.8¢24.25Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C or higher on March 5?BUY8.1¢32.7Mar 4
Will Okta (OKTA) beat quarterly earnings?BUY95.0¢0.13Mar 4
Will Okta (OKTA) beat quarterly earnings?BUY95.0¢49Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 40-41°F on March 4?BUY99.3¢1.11Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 40-41°F on March 4?BUY99.3¢187.143Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on March 4?BUY97.4¢0.29Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C or higher on March 4?BUY1.7¢200Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on March 4?BUY97.4¢120Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on March 3?BUY98.8¢236.667Mar 3
Will Supha Xayprasith-Mays win the 2026 Arkansas Governor Democratic primary election?BUY3.3¢96.97Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 36-37°F on March 2?BUY1.1¢159.205Mar 1
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 36-37°F on March 2?BUY1.0¢161.65Mar 1
Will Marco Rubio visit Israel by March 2?BUY98.7¢0.29Mar 1
Will Marco Rubio visit Israel by March 2?BUY98.7¢117.692Mar 1
Will Marco Rubio visit Israel by March 2?BUY98.8¢0.51Mar 1
Will Marco Rubio visit Israel by March 2?BUY98.8¢242.5Mar 1
Will Michele Bravi win Sanremo 2026?BUY98.5¢0.54Feb 28
Will Hacks win Best Ensemble in a Comedy Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?BUY5.9¢52.5Feb 28

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%59%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%40%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing39

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.15
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)35.5%
Win Consistency52.7%
Profit Factor1.01
Drawdown Resilience0.82
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.82
Weekly Sharpe est.0.62
Trading Activity91 trades · 43 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$2,5720d profit42d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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