0xe03db5...95189a

Smart Score

Win Rate

67.8%

Total P&L

+$4.7K

Trade Count

1,000

Sharpe Ratio

0.16

Sortino Ratio

0.89

Max Drawdown

327.3%

ROI

5.1%

Profit Factor

1.31

Kelly Fraction

0.162

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

022.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	BUY	14.0¢	149.19	Mar 2
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	BUY	14.0¢	4.302	Mar 2
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	BUY	14.0¢	40	Mar 1
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	BUY	14.0¢	6.5	Mar 1
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?	BUY	36.0¢	5.14	Mar 1
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?	BUY	73.0¢	40.35	Mar 1
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?	BUY	73.0¢	18.519	Mar 1
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?	BUY	73.0¢	3.704	Mar 1
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?	BUY	73.0¢	3.704	Mar 1
Anthropic CEO arrested?	BUY	94.1¢	34.3	Mar 1
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?	BUY	73.0¢	29.63	Mar 1
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?	BUY	73.0¢	37.037	Mar 1
Anthropic CEO arrested?	BUY	94.1¢	65.7	Mar 1
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?	BUY	73.0¢	37.037	Mar 1
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?	BUY	36.0¢	194.86	Mar 1
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?	BUY	87.0¢	188.75	Mar 1
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?	BUY	73.0¢	30	Mar 1
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?	BUY	87.0¢	11.25	Mar 1
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BUY	71.2¢	83.95	Mar 1
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BUY	71.2¢	116.05	Mar 1

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing22.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.25

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)20.8%

Win Consistency62.0%

Profit Factor0.59

Drawdown Resilience0.48

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.48

Weekly Sharpe est.0.36

Trading Activity511 trades · 100 active days

P&L Calendar

$18,32722d profit76d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue