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0xe069d0...833c17

0xe069d0...833c17
Smart Score
16
Win Rate
67.3%
Total P&L
+$6.9K
Trade Count
3,985
Sharpe Ratio
-0.16
Sortino Ratio
-0.18
Max Drawdown
515.9%
ROI
19.1%
Profit Factor
1.57
Kelly Fraction
0.243
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
015.8/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will KP Sharma Oli be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?BUY2.5¢55.6Mar 5
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $22B?BUY33.3¢9.924Mar 1
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $24B?BUY65.0¢10Mar 1
Will there be between 10 and 13 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?BUY62.0¢10Feb 22
Will there be between 10 and 13 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?BUY72.0¢8Feb 21
Will annual inflation increase by 2.5% in February?BUY68.0¢1.49Feb 21
Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the March meeting?BUY3.0¢38.92Feb 20
Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the March meeting?BUY3.0¢1.08Feb 19
Will annual inflation increase by 2.5% in February?BUY68.0¢8.51Feb 19
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?BUY86.2¢10Feb 19
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?BUY61.8¢10Feb 19
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?BUY69.0¢6.57Feb 19
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?BUY78.6¢5.19Feb 19
Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?BUY98.2¢10Feb 19
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to at least 30 years in prison?BUY4.6¢30Feb 19
Will Trump deport 750,000-1,000,000 people?BUY99.0¢20Feb 19
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from February 17 to February 24, 2026?BUY82.0¢10Feb 18
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?BUY69.0¢0.11Feb 18
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?BUY69.0¢3.226Feb 18
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?BUY82.2¢10Feb 18

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%7%30–50%10%50–70%5%70–80%9%80–90%67%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing15.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.87
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)14.4%
Win Consistency57.9%
Profit Factor0.41
Drawdown Resilience0.33
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.33
Weekly Sharpe est.0.25
Trading Activity3,985 trades · 8 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$35,7330d profit8d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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