0xe06e6e...97225e

Smart Score

Win Rate

98.4%

Total P&L

+$1

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-1.40

Sortino Ratio

-1.26

Max Drawdown

80967.0%

ROI

0.1%

Profit Factor

26.40

Kelly Fraction

0.946

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

026.7/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on March 5?	BUY	99.8¢	20.802	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 5°C on March 4?	BUY	99.9¢	10.37	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	10.36	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	10.35	Mar 2
Zhang Youxia seen in public by February 28?	BUY	99.9¢	10.34	Feb 27
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	10.33	Feb 27
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on February 26?	BUY	99.9¢	10.31	Feb 26
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 32-33°F on February 22?	BUY	99.9¢	10.3	Feb 21
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on February 21?	BUY	99.9¢	10.29	Feb 21
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -1°C on February 21?	BUY	99.9¢	10.28	Feb 20
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C or higher on February 20?	BUY	99.9¢	10.27	Feb 20
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 37°F or below on February 20?	BUY	99.9¢	10.26	Feb 19
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 5°C on February 19?	BUY	99.9¢	10.25	Feb 19
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 4°C on February 19?	BUY	99.9¢	10.24	Feb 18
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -1°C on February 18?	BUY	99.9¢	10.23	Feb 17
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 1°C on February 18?	BUY	99.9¢	10.22	Feb 17
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 1°C on February 17?	BUY	99.9¢	10.21	Feb 16
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C or below on February 17?	BUY	99.9¢	10.2	Feb 16
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on February 16?	BUY	99.9¢	10.19	Feb 16
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on February 15?	BUY	99.9¢	10.18	Feb 15

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing26.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.47

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)24.3%

Win Consistency19.7%

Profit Factor0.69

Drawdown Resilience0.56

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.56

Weekly Sharpe est.0.43

Trading Activity62 trades · 43 active days

P&L Calendar

$6200d profit42d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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