0xe08b0c...d56e94

Smart Score

Win Rate

18.8%

Total P&L

+$2.8K

Trade Count

838

Sharpe Ratio

1.74

Sortino Ratio

82.87

Max Drawdown

38.6%

ROI

20.1%

Profit Factor

1.66

Kelly Fraction

0.075

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

055.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 6?	SELL	1.0¢	516.66	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 6?	SELL	2.4¢	247.86	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 6?	SELL	8.1¢	216.21	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 7?	BUY	4.0¢	275.25	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 6?	BUY	18.5¢	216.216	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 5?	BUY	9.0¢	333.333	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 5?	BUY	9.0¢	222.222	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 5?	BUY	3.3¢	305.571	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 7?	BUY	8.0¢	375	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 7?	BUY	2.6¢	192.308	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 5?	SELL	74.3¢	31.08	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on March 11?	BUY	8.0¢	250	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 10?	BUY	8.0¢	375	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 6?	BUY	13.0¢	153.846	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 6?	BUY	6.0¢	500	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 11?	BUY	8.0¢	250	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 9?	BUY	10.0¢	200	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 8?	BUY	10.0¢	300.5	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 6?	BUY	2.6¢	192.308	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 5?	BUY	1.3¢	384.615	Mar 4

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Active55.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.03

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)50.1%

Win Consistency62.7%

Profit Factor1.43

Drawdown Resilience1.16

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.16

Weekly Sharpe est.0.88

Trading Activity838 trades · 15 active days

P&L Calendar

$2,1542d profit13d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue