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0xe0a82e...f5a9d3

0xe0a82e...f5a9d3
Smart Score
29
Win Rate
86.5%
Total P&L
+$1.1K
Trade Count
948
Sharpe Ratio
0.49
Sortino Ratio
0.59
Max Drawdown
109.4%
ROI
2.4%
Profit Factor
1.88
Kelly Fraction
0.404
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
029/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL65.7¢183.09Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL66.5¢11.12Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL66.5¢37.17Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $800M one day after launch?BUY91.0¢10Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL66.5¢13.29Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL66.6¢200Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL66.9¢72.43Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL64.9¢81.49Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY64.0¢218.031Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY64.0¢156.25Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY64.0¢156.25Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY64.0¢156.25Mar 5
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY58.0¢10Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY44.0¢10Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY58.0¢10Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY44.0¢10Mar 4
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?BUY60.0¢20Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8:50PM-8:55PM ETSELL98.0¢10.59Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8:50PM-8:55PM ETSELL98.0¢16.95Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8:50PM-8:55PM ETSELL97.0¢4.26Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%3%< 10%5%10–20%9%20–30%13%30–50%15%50–70%8%70–80%16%80–90%33%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing29

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.59
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)26.4%
Win Consistency68.1%
Profit Factor0.75
Drawdown Resilience0.61
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.61
Weekly Sharpe est.0.46
Trading Activity948 trades · 95 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$17,59114d profit80d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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