0xe0b002...0a317f

Smart Score

Win Rate

20.2%

Total P&L

-$15

Trade Count

184

Sharpe Ratio

1.03

Sortino Ratio

10.88

Max Drawdown

16648.3%

ROI

-2.4%

Profit Factor

0.80

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

023.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Paradex FDV above $300M one day after launch?	BUY	19.0¢	5.263	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on March 5?	BUY	28.9¢	3.46	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 5?	SELL	48.0¢	6.25	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 5?	BUY	16.0¢	6.25	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 3?	BUY	5.1¢	19.608	Mar 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 3?	SELL	25.0¢	4.34	Mar 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 3?	SELL	26.0¢	6.77	Mar 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 3?	BUY	9.0¢	11.111	Mar 2
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 1?	BUY	5.8¢	17.241	Feb 28
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 28?	BUY	7.0¢	14.286	Feb 28
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 28?	BUY	16.0¢	6.25	Feb 28
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 28?	SELL	36.1¢	9.09	Feb 28
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 28?	BUY	11.0¢	9.091	Feb 28
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on February 27?	BUY	11.3¢	8.85	Feb 27
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on February 27?	SELL	9.3¢	13.4	Feb 27
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on February 27?	BUY	4.0¢	13.4	Feb 27
Ethereum Up or Down on February 27?	SELL	46.0¢	5.26	Feb 27
Ethereum Up or Down on February 27?	BUY	19.0¢	5.263	Feb 27
Will Leavitt say "Iran" during the next White House Press Briefing?	SELL	90.3¢	100	Feb 26
Will Leavitt say "Iran" during the next White House Press Briefing?	BUY	94.0¢	100	Feb 26

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing23.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.27

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)21.0%

Win Consistency51.0%

Profit Factor0.60

Drawdown Resilience0.49

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.49

Weekly Sharpe est.0.37

Trading Activity184 trades · 48 active days

P&L Calendar

$3317d profit30d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue