0xe0fd1b...98e179

Smart Score

Win Rate

92.5%

Total P&L

+$17.8K

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.21

Sortino Ratio

-0.13

Max Drawdown

379.9%

ROI

3.5%

Profit Factor

20.04

Kelly Fraction

0.879

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

036.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
76ers vs. Suns	BUY	46.0¢	8.93	Feb 7
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	BUY	98.5¢	103	Dec 19
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?	BUY	99.9¢	8.24	Dec 19
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November?	BUY	99.4¢	15.895	Nov 5
Will Ethereum dip to $3000 in October?	BUY	94.1¢	5.42	Oct 22
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?	BUY	99.9¢	68.97	Oct 22
Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?	BUY	98.4¢	3.557	Sep 25
Will Solana reach $350 in September?	BUY	99.9¢	5.205	Sep 25
Will Bitcoin reach $200K in September?	BUY	99.7¢	27.181	Sep 7
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% in 2025?	BUY	96.9¢	4.231	Sep 1
Will Elon Musk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?	BUY	95.9¢	2.711	Sep 1
Will Octavian Berceanu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?	BUY	99.8¢	5.01	Aug 29
Will Victoria Azarenka win the 2025 US Open?	BUY	99.8¢	5.01	Aug 29
Will the ECB announce an increase at the September meeting?	BUY	99.5¢	4.322	Aug 5
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	BUY	99.9¢	10.51	Aug 5
Will DIY hold the second most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?	BUY	99.7¢	7.924	Jul 19
Will Dogecoin dip to $0.06 in July?	BUY	99.9¢	10.61	Jul 19
Will Stačilo! win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?	BUY	99.8¢	3.607	Jul 13
Will 'Superman' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?	BUY	99.5¢	4.623	Jul 13
Will the US add less than 50k jobs in June?	BUY	97.9¢	3.064	Jul 2

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing36.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.99

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)32.9%

Win Consistency74.6%

Profit Factor0.94

Drawdown Resilience0.76

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.76

Weekly Sharpe est.0.58

Trading Activity83 trades · 22 active days

P&L Calendar

$36,2601d profit21d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue