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0xe12355...e25e3d

0xe12355...e25e3d
Smart Score
53
Win Rate
44.4%
Total P&L
+$348
Trade Count
152
Sharpe Ratio
2.31
Sortino Ratio
45.40
Max Drawdown
626.2%
ROI
49.2%
Profit Factor
16.86
Kelly Fraction
0.418
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
053.2/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
US strikes Iraq by February 28?BUY0.1¢1,000Mar 5
Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY0.5¢200Mar 5
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?BUY1.4¢71.429Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ETBUY42.9¢2.331Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ETSELL62.1¢2.09Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ETBUY46.9¢2.132Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ETSELL55.1¢1.93Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ETBUY51.0¢1.961Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7:35PM-7:40PM ETBUY36.9¢2.71Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7:35PM-7:40PM ETSELL53.0¢4.14Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7:35PM-7:40PM ETBUY23.9¢4.184Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7:30PM-7:35PM ETSELL96.0¢2.4Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7:30PM-7:35PM ETBUY41.0¢2.439Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7:20PM-7:25PM ETSELL99.1¢7.11Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7:20PM-7:25PM ETBUY14.0¢7.143Mar 4
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY31.0¢16.129Mar 4
Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY0.8¢125Mar 4
Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY1.7¢173.041Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY56.6¢17.668Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY76.0¢3.289Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%10%< 10%7%10–20%10%20–30%28%30–50%38%50–70%5%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing53.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.93
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)48.4%
Win Consistency57.1%
Profit Factor1.38
Drawdown Resilience1.12
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.12
Weekly Sharpe est.0.85
Trading Activity152 trades · 5 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$382d profit3d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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