0xe13f9b...4cc8b4

Smart Score

Win Rate

25.0%

Total P&L

+$2.2K

Trade Count

2,468

Sharpe Ratio

0.83

Sortino Ratio

24.56

Max Drawdown

1158.6%

ROI

3.5%

Profit Factor

2.96

Kelly Fraction

0.166

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

033.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	45.0¢	86.65	Mar 5
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	44.9¢	22	Mar 4
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	21.8¢	195.25	Mar 4
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	28.2¢	5	Mar 4
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	25.5¢	196.077	Mar 4
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	SELL	16.0¢	11.87	Mar 4
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	16.0¢	62.5	Mar 4
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	16.0¢	156.25	Mar 4
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	SELL	16.0¢	100	Mar 4
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	SELL	16.0¢	50	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	12.7¢	236.892	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	0.2¢	537.62	Mar 4
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	43.7¢	83.55	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	1.9¢	132.42	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	2.5¢	405.2	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	24.0¢	292.171	Mar 4
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	5.7¢	176.479	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	2.7¢	185.18	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	25.9¢	543.65	Mar 4
Will Opinion launch a token on March 6?	BUY	0.1¢	38.06	Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing33.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.84

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)30.4%

Win Consistency55.8%

Profit Factor0.87

Drawdown Resilience0.70

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.70

Weekly Sharpe est.0.53

Trading Activity2,468 trades · 41 active days

P&L Calendar

+$78618d profit23d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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