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0xe1A6a6Fa240b47bF0eB336eA6Ca5B52E30E41f3B-1771843239999

0xe1a6a6...e41f3b
Smart Score
44
Win Rate
60.0%
Total P&L
+$269
Trade Count
1,437
Sharpe Ratio
0.84
Sortino Ratio
10.72
Max Drawdown
1182.8%
ROI
13.2%
Profit Factor
3.93
Kelly Fraction
0.447
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
043.5/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?SELL51.0¢0.01Mar 5
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?SELL51.0¢0.01Mar 5
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?SELL51.0¢0.01Mar 5
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?SELL51.0¢0.01Mar 5
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?SELL51.0¢0.01Mar 5
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?SELL51.0¢0.01Mar 5
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?SELL51.0¢0.01Mar 5
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?SELL51.0¢0.02Mar 5
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?SELL51.0¢0.01Mar 5
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?SELL51.0¢0.02Mar 5
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL2.1¢0.76Mar 5
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL2.1¢0.18Mar 5
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?SELL51.0¢0.01Mar 5
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?SELL51.0¢0.01Mar 5
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL2.1¢0.85Mar 5
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?SELL51.0¢0.01Mar 5
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?SELL51.0¢0.01Mar 5
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?SELL51.0¢0.03Mar 5
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?SELL51.0¢0.16Mar 5
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?SELL51.0¢0.01Mar 5

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%5%< 10%7%10–20%8%20–30%13%30–50%16%50–70%11%70–80%14%80–90%26%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing43.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.39
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)39.6%
Win Consistency50.0%
Profit Factor1.13
Drawdown Resilience0.91
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.91
Weekly Sharpe est.0.70
Trading Activity1,437 trades · 13 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$6652d profit11d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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