0xe1ad6d...2f6421

Smart Score

Win Rate

75.6%

Total P&L

+$711

Trade Count

699

Sharpe Ratio

-0.11

Sortino Ratio

-0.12

Max Drawdown

430.4%

ROI

1.9%

Profit Factor

7.23

Kelly Fraction

0.651

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

031.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	SELL	99.2¢	15.1	Mar 5
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	BUY	99.3¢	15.106	Mar 5
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	SELL	97.0¢	10.29	Jan 24
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	BUY	97.1¢	10.299	Jan 24
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	99.2¢	11.08	Oct 9
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	99.3¢	11.077	Oct 9
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	98.6¢	18.23	Sep 17
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	98.7¢	18.237	Sep 16
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	99.5¢	14.05	Jul 31
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	99.6¢	14.056	Jul 31
Fulham wins the Premier League?	SELL	99.5¢	114.48	Dec 31
Fulham wins the Premier League?	BUY	99.6¢	114.488	Dec 31
Aston Villa wins the Premier League?	SELL	99.3¢	114.78	Dec 31
Aston Villa wins the Premier League?	BUY	99.5¢	114.784	Dec 31
Everton wins the Premier League?	SELL	99.5¢	114.74	Dec 31
Everton wins the Premier League?	BUY	99.7¢	114.744	Dec 31
Wolverhampton Wanderers win the Premier League?	SELL	99.5¢	114.95	Dec 31
Wolverhampton Wanderers win the Premier League?	BUY	99.6¢	114.95	Dec 31
Aston Villa wins the Premier League?	SELL	99.3¢	23.06	Dec 31
Southampton wins the Premier League?	SELL	99.5¢	115.06	Dec 31

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing31.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.73

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)28.7%

Win Consistency42.4%

Profit Factor0.82

Drawdown Resilience0.66

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.66

Weekly Sharpe est.0.50

Trading Activity10 trades · 5 active days

P&L Calendar

$00d profit5d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue